2017新GRE写作官方题库Argument全题解析汇总(122)

>>GRE写作：2017新GRE写作官方题库Argument全题解析汇总(122)

>>GRE考试辅导：精品课程高端指导

GRE官方题库原题122

The following appeared in an editorial in a business magazine.

"Although the sales of Whirlwind video games have declined over the past two years, a recent survey of video-game players suggests that this sales trend is about to be reversed. The survey asked video-game players what features they thought were most important in a video game. According to the survey, players prefer games that provide lifelike graphics, which require the most up-to-date computers. Whirlwind has just introduced several such games with an extensive advertising campaign directed at people ten to twenty-five years old, the age-group most likely to play video games. It follows, then, that the sales of Whirlwind video games are likely to increase dramatically in the next few months."

Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted.

题目翻译

尽管Whirlwind游戏公司的游戏销量在过去两年中下降了，最近一次对于电子游戏玩家的调查显示这种销售趋势可能会逆转。该调查询问游戏玩家对于一个游戏来说他们所认为的最重要特征是什么。根据调查结果，玩家倾向于那些需要最先进的电脑的，具有活灵活现图象的游戏。Whirlwind刚刚面向10-25岁的人群开展了大力的广告活动来推广若干此类游戏，10-25岁是最喜欢玩游戏的年龄层。这说明Whirlwind公司的游戏销量将会在未来几个月猛增。

题目分析

1. 作者并没有给出样本选择的数量和取样方法，因此结论未必具有代表性;即使具有代表性，样本的选择未必是针对10-25岁的人群，因此结论和公司的营销策略不匹配，也会导致这个调查的结论无法适用于该公司的情况。

2. 即使调查结论具有代表性，即玩家喜欢游戏的生动性，也不代表他们会去购买这类游戏。因为要达到生动性，需要有高配置的电脑为前提，而这很可能是目标人群所不具备的，因此该游戏的销量未必能够很高。

3. 即使玩家有高配置的电脑，这些游戏也未必能卖得出去。因为游戏的销售和其他因素也有关系，比如游戏的价格、厂家的信誉、销售门店的位置等等，因此质量仅是其中一个因素，无法通过作者的证据得到其结论。

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