2017新GRE写作官方题库Argument全题解析汇总(115)

>>GRE写作：2017新GRE写作官方题库Argument全题解析汇总(115)

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GRE官方题库原题115

The following is part of a memorandum from the president of Humana University.

"Last year the number of students who enrolled in online degree programs offered by nearby Omni University increased by 50 percent. During the same year, Omni showed a significant decrease from prior years in expenditures for dormitory and classroom space, most likely because instruction in the online programs takes place via the Internet. In contrast, over the past three years, enrollment at Humana University has failed to grow, and the cost of maintaining buildings has increased along with our budget deficit. To address these problems, Humana University will begin immediately to create and actively promote online degree programs like those at Omni. We predict that instituting these online degree programs will help Humana both increase its total enrollment and solve its budget problems."

Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.

题目翻译

去年报名参加附近Omni大学远程教学系统的学生人数上升了50%。同年，Omni用于宿舍和教室的开支比前一年显著下降，很可能是因为远程教学通过互动电脑录像授课。比较而言，在过去三年中，Humana学院的报名人数下降了，而且用于房屋维护的费用和财政赤字都上升。因此，为解决这些问题，我们也应该开展并积极推广与Omni一样的远程教学系统。我们预计推出这样的在线课程不光可以增加我们的招生也同时可以解决目前的财政赤字危机。

题目分析

1. 作者将O大学维护费用的下降归因于新的网络授课项目，这个因果关系未必成立。这两者可能只是时间先后顺序，未必有因果关系，可能是有其他因素导致了O大学维护费用的下降，比如采用了更先进的管理等等。

2. 即使O大学维护费用的下降归因于网络授课，相同的措施在H大学未必有效，因为两个大学可能有差异。比如O大学排名很高，网络课程很受欢迎，而H大学则默默无名，因此即使网络授课也门可罗雀。如果是这样的话，那相同的措施在H大学未必有效。

3. 即使该建议有效，也有其他更好的方法来解决相同的问题。比如聘请更好的老师、购买更先进的教学设备等等，这样就能够吸引到更多的学生，并使得学校的教育质量得以提高。

4. 即使能减少维护开支，作者说能够提高学生数量和解决财政问题的结论未必能达到。因为这些问题有赖于学校的教育质量和其他方面的综合表现，而维护开支只是占了很小的一部分。所以作者的结论未必成立。

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