2017新GRE写作官方题库Argument全题解析汇总(82)

>>GRE写作：2017新GRE写作官方题库Argument全题解析汇总(82)

>>GRE考试辅导：精品课程高端指导

GRE官方题库原题82

The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette.

"On Balmer Island, where mopeds serve as a popular form of transportation, the population increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island should limit the number of mopeds rented by the island's moped rental companies from 50 per day to 25 per day during the summer season. By limiting the number of rentals, the town council will attain the 50 percent annual reduction in moped accidents that was achieved last year on the neighboring island of Seaville, when Seaville's town council enforced similar limits on moped rentals."

Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.

题目翻译

Balmer岛的人口在夏季达到了100000，而助力车则是岛上一种非常普遍的交通方式。为了减少由助力车和行人引发的事故，b岛市政府应该限制岛上夏季助力车租赁公司的租车数量，从原来的每天50量减少到25量。通过限制出租数量，市政府将会实现助力车事故减少50%的目标，就像去年邻近s岛市政府在实施了同样的政策后所取得的效果。

题目分析

1. 并没有证据表明减少摩托车出租量是S镇摩托车事故减少的唯一原因。有可能S镇在去年人口大幅减少;或是有钱了都买了车;或是在一年前大修了镇里的道路等等。

2. 即使减少摩托车出租量是S镇摩托车事故减少的唯一原因，S镇一年前的措施也未必在一年后仍然有效。可能现在S镇的摩托车驾驶员都经过了培训，目前出租量下的事故率已经达到了最低，再降低未必有效果。

3. 即使S镇一年后仍能从该政策中受益，也不代表B岛目前施行同一政策也能受益，两者的经济、人文等背景均有所不同。可能在B岛，禁摩托后村民会选择多买车，反而提高了事故率;或是B岛的摩托车使用高峰在冬季，因此夏季减少摩托的使用不管用。

4. 减少使用有自损八百之嫌，因此若有更好的方法减少事故率，则此政策不宜推广。不妨多多修缮道路、加强交通监管、修建警示标志、加强驾驶员培训等。

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